Ratings, expectations, schedule strength. They are honest work and clearly labeled — and they never outrank a source, never get written back into the record, and never simulate a winner between teams that never met.
Thunder Elo
A rating walked through every scored game since 1900 — season by season, the peak, the biggest moves, and the games that most surprised the ladder. Margin-aware, Wheaton-centric, and open about both.
Open the exhibit →The Gauntlet
Every NCAA playoff road since 1995, round by round — the scores, each run's closest call, and how the ladder rated the teams standing in the way. Honest enough to label a first-time opponent unrated.
Open the exhibit →The Graph
How good was each Wheaton team, and how hard was the schedule it played? Points for and against, what the arithmetic said the record should have been, and the strength of every slate as the ladder saw it.
Open the exhibit →Thunder Elo after 2025: 1705
Up 64 over the 2025 season (11-3). The all-time peak is 1809, reached in 2019.
See the ladderPick winners across eras. Translating a scoring environment, yes. A simulated 1946-vs-2025 game, no — that game was never played, and the archive does not invent games.
Rate players. Value-over-replacement numbers need play-by-play the archive does not have. Until a source provides it, per-player value here would be fiction with decimals.
Touch the record. Nothing computed here is stored as fact, cited as a source, or allowed to settle a dispute about what happened.
Opponent seasons. Every opponent here is rated only from its games against Wheaton. Their full-season results, from a verified outside source, would turn schedule strength from an estimate into a measurement.
Era translation. The scoring environment of 1954 was not that of 2025. A stated conversion between decades would let the career leaders be read on one scale.
Line scores. Quarter-by-quarter scoring for the 1997–2025 box scores would let the ladder see comebacks, not just finals.